Hurricane CRISTOBAL

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HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1500 UTC TUE AUG 26 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  71.7W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 180SE  60SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE  60SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  71.7W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N  71.8W

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.4N  71.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 180SE  60SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 31.9N  70.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 180SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 33.9N  69.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 180SE  70SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.4N  65.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE  60SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 100SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 43.0N  51.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 120SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 210SE 150SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 50.0N  37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 58.0N  26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N  71.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN


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