Hurricane CRISTOBAL

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HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
0300 UTC TUE AUG 26 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  71.9W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT.......  0NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 180SE  60SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  71.9W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  71.9W

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 26.9N  71.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 180SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.3N  70.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 180SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 31.8N  70.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 180SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 34.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 39.0N  58.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 200SE 100SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 45.0N  45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 51.0N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N  71.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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