Hurricane RAYMOND

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE RAYMOND ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172013
200 PM PDT MON OCT 21 2013
 
...RAYMOND A LITTLE STRONGER BUT STILL STATIONARY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...16.3N 102.2W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM WSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...949 MB...28.02 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TECPAN DE GALEANA TO LAZARO CARDENAS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RAYMOND WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.2 WEST. RAYMOND IS
CURRENTLY STATIONARY. A SLOW AND ERRATIC MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND RAYMOND COULD MOVE CLOSER TO THE COAST OF
MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. A SLOW
MOTION TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...205
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RAYMOND IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON TUESDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80
MILES...130 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 949 MB...28.02 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...RAYMOND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 12 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATE
OF GUERRERO AND MICHOACAN. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS MAY
OCCUR IN PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY EARLY TUESDAY IF
THE CENTER OF RAYMOND MOVES CLOSER TO THE COAST THAN CURRENTLY
FORECAST.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT
COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS.
NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY RAYMOND ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE
INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
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