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Tropical Storm PRISCILLA (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162013
0900 UTC MON OCT 14 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 115.7W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE  60SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 115.7W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 115.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.8N 115.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.0N 115.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.1N 115.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.2N 115.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 21.0N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 21.0N 118.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 115.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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