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Tropical Depression MANUEL (Text)

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132013
800 PM PDT SUN SEP 15 2013
 
...MANUEL WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUT STILL PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINFALL...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...19.8N 104.9W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM NW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM ESE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM
WARNINGS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.9 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED...AND
MANUEL IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE ON MONDAY.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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RAINFALL...MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN
OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF GUERRERO AND MICHOACAN...
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE.  RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MEXICAN STATES OF COLIMA...JALISCO
AND NAYARIT. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN REGIONS OF MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN. A WEATHER STATION IN NEVADO DE COLIMA IN THE STATE OF
JALISCO OBSERVED A LITTLE OVER 8 INCHES OF RAIN.
 
STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO
SHOULD BE SUBSIDING DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MANUEL ARE STILL AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND MANZANILLO.
THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE LATER TONIGHT.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART
 
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