Tropical Storm MANUEL

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MANUEL ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132013
200 PM PDT SAT SEP 14 2013
 
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE WITH MANUEL...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...16.8N 102.5W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SSW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
ABOUT 195 MI...310 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO MANZANILLO
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF MANUEL.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MANUEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.5 WEST. MANUEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...MANUEL SHOULD BE NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY EARLY SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE UNTIL LANDFALL ON
SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240 MILES...390
KM...MOSTLY SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN
OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF OAXACA AND GUERRERO...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA SOON.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MANUEL ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND MANZANILLO.
THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS.  PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
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