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Tropical Storm LORENA (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM LORENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122013
0300 UTC FRI SEP 06 2013
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BUENAVISTA.  A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR NORTH OF AGUA BLANCA TO SANTA FE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
*  BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BUENAVISTA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
*  BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR NORTH OF AGUA BLANCA TO SANTA FE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 TO
48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 107.6W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 107.6W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 107.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.6N 108.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.5N 109.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 23.2N 110.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 23.8N 110.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 25.0N 111.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 107.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/BRENNAN
 
 
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