Tropical Depression ERICK

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052013
0300 UTC TUE JUL 09 2013
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
NONE.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 111.6W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 111.6W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 111.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.1N 112.7W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.1N 114.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.7N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.0N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N 111.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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