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Tropical Storm MELISSA (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142013
0300 UTC THU NOV 21 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.1N  42.1W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  26 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 210SE 150SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 420SE 480SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.1N  42.1W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.5N  43.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 39.6N  37.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 200SE 150SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 41.2N  31.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 42.4N  25.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 42.8N  21.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...210NE 150SE  60SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 41.0N  16.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.1N  42.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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