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Subtropical Storm MELISSA (Text)

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SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142013
1500 UTC TUE NOV 19 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  54.6W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......240NE 170SE 170SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 600SE 600SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  54.6W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  54.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 33.9N  52.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...240NE 170SE 170SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 36.6N  48.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 180SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.5N  43.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 220SE 200SW 220NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 42.2N  37.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  90SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 300SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 46.5N  29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 210SW 210NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 53.2N  26.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N  54.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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