Hurricane INGRID
ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE INGRID WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102013
2100 UTC SUN SEP 15 2013
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE INGRID WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X X 12 34 NA NA NA
TROP DEPRESSION X 3 40 39 NA NA NA
TROPICAL STORM 48 66 42 24 NA NA NA
HURRICANE 52 31 6 3 NA NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 49 26 6 3 NA NA NA
HUR CAT 2 3 4 1 1 NA NA NA
HUR CAT 3 1 1 X X NA NA NA
HUR CAT 4 X X X X NA NA NA
HUR CAT 5 X X X X NA NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65KT 60KT 35KT 25KT NA NA NA
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 3 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 5 5(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
LA PESCO MX 34 30 45(75) 4(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
LA PESCO MX 50 1 19(20) 2(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
LA PESCO MX 64 X 4( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
TAMPICO MX 34 14 42(56) 4(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
TAMPICO MX 50 1 10(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
TAMPICO MX 64 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
TUXPAN MX 34 3 5( 8) 2(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
VERACRUZ MX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
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