Tropical Depression TEN

ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3         
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102013               
0900 UTC FRI SEP 13 2013                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       1       3       7       9      17      29      49
TROP DEPRESSION 32      23      27      23      27      27      27
TROPICAL STORM  67      69      60      58      47      38      20
HURRICANE        1       4       5      10      10       7       5
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        1       4       4       9       8       6       4
HUR CAT 2        X       X       1       1       1       1       X
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   35KT    40KT    40KT    45KT    55KT    30KT    20KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
GFMX 280N 930W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
GALVESTON TX   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
HOUSTON TX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
SAN ANTONIO TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
FREEPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)
 
PORT O CONNOR  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)
 
CORPUS CHRISTI 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)
 
GFMX 270N 960W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   4(11)   3(14)
GFMX 270N 960W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
BROWNSVILLE TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   7(19)   3(22)
BROWNSVILLE TX 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
BROWNSVILLE TX 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
GFMX 250N 960W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  14(20)   7(27)   3(30)
GFMX 250N 960W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)
GFMX 250N 960W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)
 
LA PESCO MX    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  16(22)   7(29)   3(32)
LA PESCO MX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)
LA PESCO MX    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
TAMPICO MX     34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   7(10)  14(24)   5(29)   2(31)
TAMPICO MX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)
TAMPICO MX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
TUXPAN MX      34  1   1( 2)   3( 5)   6(11)  10(21)   3(24)   2(26)
TUXPAN MX      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
TUXPAN MX      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
VERACRUZ MX    34  4   8(12)   4(16)   2(18)   3(21)   1(22)   X(22)
 
FRONTERA MX    34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
NNNN