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Hurricane INGRID (Text)


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HURRICANE INGRID FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102013
0300 UTC SUN SEP 15 2013
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM NORTH OF
LA PESCA TO BAHIA ALGODONES...AND HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING NORTHWARD FROM BAHIA ALGODONES TO RIO SAN FERNANDO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO ROJO TO LA PESCA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF LA PESCA TO BAHIA ALGODONES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF LA PESCA TO RIO SAN FERNANDO
* SOUTH OF CABO ROJO TO TUXPAN
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS. 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF COAST OF EASTERN
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF INGRID.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  95.0W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  95.0W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  94.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 22.4N  95.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 23.0N  96.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 23.0N  97.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.7N  98.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 22.0N  99.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N  95.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
NNNN

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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Apr-2014 23:29:03 UTC