Hurricane INGRID

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HURRICANE INGRID FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102013
2100 UTC SAT SEP 14 2013
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ADJUSTED THE PREVIOUS WATCHES AND
WARNINGS FOR THE GULF COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FROM CABO ROJO TO LA PESCA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
ISSUED FROM NORTH OF LA PESCA TO BAHIA ALGODONES...AND FROM SOUTH
OF CABO ROJO TO TUXPAN. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
COATZACOALCOS TO SOUTH OF TUXPAN HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO ROJO TO LA PESCA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF LA PESCA TO BAHIA ALGODONES
* SOUTH OF CABO ROJO TO TUXPAN
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36
HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF COAST OF EASTERN
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF INGRID.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N  94.4W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N  94.4W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  94.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.0N  94.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 22.7N  95.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 22.8N  97.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.5N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 22.0N  99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 21.5N  99.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N  94.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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