Tropical Depression GABRIELLE
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION GABRIELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072013
0900 UTC THU SEP 12 2013
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED 1 4 7 11 NA NA NA
TROP DEPRESSION 57 32 33 36 NA NA NA
TROPICAL STORM 41 61 56 49 NA NA NA
HURRICANE 1 3 4 5 NA NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 1 3 4 4 NA NA NA
HUR CAT 2 X X X 1 NA NA NA
HUR CAT 3 X X X X NA NA NA
HUR CAT 4 X X X X NA NA NA
HUR CAT 5 X X X X NA NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30KT 35KT 35KT 35KT NA NA NA
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 21(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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