Tropical Storm GABRIELLE
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TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072013
0900 UTC WED SEP 11 2013
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X 2 4 8 12 NA NA
TROP DEPRESSION 4 13 27 25 28 NA NA
TROPICAL STORM 93 79 63 60 53 NA NA
HURRICANE 2 6 5 7 7 NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 2 6 5 6 6 NA NA
HUR CAT 2 X 1 1 1 1 NA NA
HUR CAT 3 X X X X X NA NA
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X NA NA
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45KT 45KT 40KT 40KT 40KT NA NA
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) X(19) X(19)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) X(20) X(20)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) X(28) X(28)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) X(28) X(28)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) X(33) X(33)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BERMUDA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
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