Tropical Storm DORIAN

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TROPICAL STORM DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042013
2100 UTC WED JUL 24 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  31.4W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  31.4W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  30.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.3N  34.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.1N  37.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.8N  41.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.5N  44.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.7N  51.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 19.6N  58.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 20.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N  31.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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