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Tropical Depression TWO


ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
1000 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVES OVER THE SOUTHERN BAY OF
CAMPECHE...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.9N 92.7W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM WNW OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM ENE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM
PUNTA EL LAGARTO WESTWARD TO BARRA DE NAUTLA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE NAUTLA MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.7 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19
KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN BAY OF
CAMPECHE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AND REACH THE COAST IN THE 
STATE OF VERACRUZ WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BE NEAR TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH 
WHEN IT APPROACHES THE COAST OF MEXICO.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN
MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND
MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
BY LATE WEDNESDAY.
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
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