Post-Tropical Cyclone ANDREA
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POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ANDREA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013
1500 UTC SAT JUN 08 2013
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 43.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED 1 6 8 NA NA NA NA
TROP DEPRESSION 33 41 37 NA NA NA NA
TROPICAL STORM 65 51 52 NA NA NA NA
HURRICANE 1 2 3 NA NA NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 1 2 3 NA NA NA NA
HUR CAT 2 X X X NA NA NA NA
HUR CAT 3 X X X NA NA NA NA
HUR CAT 4 X X X NA NA NA NA
HUR CAT 5 X X X NA NA NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40KT 35KT 35KT NA NA NA NA
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) 32(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X 16(16) 21(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X 36(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X 16(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
PTX BASQUES 34 2 11(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
EDDY POINT NS 34 47 12(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
EDDY POINT NS 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SYDNEY NS 34 17 29(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
SYDNEY NS 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SABLE ISLAND 34 18 5(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
HALIFAX NS 34 66 X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
YARMOUTH NS 34 74 X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
MONCTON NB 34 12 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
ST JOHN NB 34 13 X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
EASTPORT ME 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
HYANNIS MA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NANTUCKET MA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
FORECASTER BERG
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