Tropical Storm ANDREA

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TROPICAL STORM ANDREA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012013
200 PM EDT THU JUN 06 2013
 
...ANDREA EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL SOON...
...TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES FOR MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...29.0N 83.6W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM WSW OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM ESE OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BOCA GRANDE TO INDIAN PASS
* FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.6 WEST.  ANDREA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H.  A NORTHEASTWARD
ACCELERATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANDREA WILL REACH THE COAST OF THE BIG BEND
AREA OF FLORIDA IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  ANDREA WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES THROUGH
SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE CENTER
REACHES THE COAST.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST TONIGHT AND EARLY
FRIDAY WHILE THE CENTER OF ANDREA MOVES OVER LAND.  ANDREA SHOULD
LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS IN ABOUT 36 TO 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.  A WIND GUST OF 58 MPH...93 KM/H WAS RECENTLY
REPORTED AT PUNTA GORDA FLORIDA.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES...
BASED ON DATA FROM A NOAA BUOY LOCATED IN THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND
IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...
 
TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD TO AUCILLA RIVER...2 TO 4 FT
FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY...1 TO 2 FT
FLAGLER BEACH NORTH TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT...1 TO 2 FT
 
THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO
THE SOUTH OF THE FLORIDA LANDFALL LOCATION. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING
DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...
AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC
TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.
 
RAINFALL...ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...EASTERN PARTS OF
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...AND EASTERN SOUTH
CAROLINA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.
TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE ALSO EXPECTED OVER
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF FLORIDA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  THESE CONDITIONS
WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
TODAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/BEVEN
 
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