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Tropical Storm OLIVIA (Text)


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TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152012
0300 UTC MON OCT 08 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 120.9W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 120.9W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 120.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.8N 120.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 17.3N 121.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.4N 121.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.2N 122.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 16.9N 123.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 16.0N 125.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 120.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
NNNN

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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:10:40 UTC