Hurricane MIRIAM
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HURRICANE MIRIAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132012
1500 UTC TUE SEP 25 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 114.5W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 114.5W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 114.3W
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 19.3N 114.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 20.2N 115.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 21.2N 115.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 22.2N 115.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 23.9N 115.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 25.3N 115.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 26.7N 115.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 114.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
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FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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