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Tropical Storm GILMA


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TROPICAL STORM GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072012
2100 UTC WED AUG 08 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 117.8W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 117.8W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 117.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.5N 118.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.2N 119.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.8N 120.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.4N 121.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 19.5N 122.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 20.0N 122.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 20.5N 123.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 117.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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