Tropical Storm FABIO
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TROPICAL STORM FABIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062012
2100 UTC THU JUL 12 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 108.3W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 108.3W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 107.9W
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 14.9N 109.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.6N 110.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.1N 112.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.4N 113.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 19.5N 117.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 22.0N 119.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 108.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
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FORECASTER BERG
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