ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FABIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 27...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062012 800 AM PDT WED JUL 18 2012 CORRECTED TYPOS IN THIRD PARAGRAPH THE REMAINING SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH FABIO ARE DISPLACED OVER 100 N MI TO THE NORTH OF THE ESTIMATED LOW-LEVEL CENTER...AND THIS SYSTEM NO LONGER HAS THE CRITERIA NEEDED FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THEREFORE...FABIO IS NOW A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW AND THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM. THE INITIAL WIND SPEED ESTIMATE IS LOWERED TO 25 KT. THE REMNANT LOW IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE WITHIN A COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT REMAINS OVER COLD WATER AND IN A STRONG WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THE LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWARD NEAR 9 KT. A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED UNTIL THE CYCLONE OPENS INTO A TROUGH. DOPPLER RADAR IMAGES FROM SAN DIEGO SHOW SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY APPROACHING THE AREA. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THE RAINFALL POTENTIAL IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES IN THAT REGION. MARINE FORECASTS OF THE REMNANT LOW CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 18/1500Z 25.7N 120.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 19/0000Z 26.5N 120.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 19/1200Z 27.5N 120.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 20/0000Z 28.3N 119.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:10:20 UTC