ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052012 2100 UTC SUN JUL 08 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 107.5W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 40SE 20SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 30SE 15SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 107.5W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 106.8W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 12.1N 109.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 12.7N 111.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 13.4N 113.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 13.9N 115.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 14.3N 118.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 14.8N 122.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 15.5N 126.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 107.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:10:16 UTC