Tropical Storm EMILIA
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TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052012
1500 UTC SUN JUL 08 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 105.9W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 105.9W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 105.3W
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 11.7N 107.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 12.5N 110.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 13.2N 112.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 13.9N 114.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 70SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 15.0N 117.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 15.8N 121.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 16.5N 126.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N 105.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
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FORECASTER BLAKE
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