Tropical Storm EMILIA

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TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052012
0900 UTC SUN JUL 08 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 104.6W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 104.6W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 104.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 11.4N 106.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 12.1N 109.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 12.8N 111.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 13.5N 113.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 14.7N 116.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 15.7N 120.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 16.5N 124.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N 104.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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