Tropical Storm BUD

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BUD INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  21A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022012
1100 PM PDT FRI MAY 25 2012
 
...BUD WEAKENING WHILE APPROACHING CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...20.2N 105.8W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM NW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO WESTWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BUD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.8 WEST. BUD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H.  A NORTHWARD MOTION AT
A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS...
FOLLOWED BY A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF BUD WILL CONTINUE TO BE NEAR THE
COAST OF MEXICO IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND
BUD IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST OF
MEXICO IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA LATER
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
 
RAINFALL...BUD IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6
TO 10 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO IN THE STATES
OF MICHOACAN...COLIMA...JALISCO AND SOUTHERN NAYARIT...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING
NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF BUD MAKES LANDFALL.
NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DAMAGING WAVES.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY BUD ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COASTS OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/BRENNAN
 
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