Tropical Storm BUD
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TROPICAL STORM BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022012
0300 UTC THU MAY 24 2012
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE
PACIFIC COAST FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LA FORTUNA.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 107.9W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 107.9W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 107.8W
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.0N 107.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.1N 107.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 30SE 10SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.5N 106.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.4N 105.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 19.0N 105.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 18.5N 106.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 18.0N 107.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 107.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
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FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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