Tropical Storm BUD
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TROPICAL STORM BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022012
1500 UTC TUE MAY 22 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 104.0W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 104.0W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 103.6W
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 11.9N 105.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 12.8N 106.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 13.7N 106.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.6N 106.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.5N 105.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 18.0N 104.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 18.0N 105.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N 104.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
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FORECASTER BERG
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