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Post-Tropical Cyclone SANDY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  31     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012               
0300 UTC TUE OCT 30 2012                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 39.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       5      24      42      57      67      NA
TROP DEPRESSION  2      40      51      41      31      20      NA
TROPICAL STORM  90      55      26      17      13      13      NA
HURRICANE        8       X       X       X       X       X      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        8       X       X       X       X       X      NA
HUR CAT 2        X       X       X       X       X       X      NA
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X       X       X       X      NA
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       X      NA
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   55KT    40KT    30KT    25KT    25KT    25KT    NA  
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CONCORD NH     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
BOSTON MA      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
HYANNIS MA     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
HARTFORD CT    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NEW YORK CITY  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
NEWARK NJ      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NEWARK NJ      50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
TRENTON NJ     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
TRENTON NJ     50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ATLANTIC CITY  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ATLANTIC CITY  64 31   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BALTIMORE MD   50 47   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
 
DOVER DE       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
DOVER DE       50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ANNAPOLIS MD   50 23   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
WASHINGTON DC  50  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
OCEAN CITY MD  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
RICHMOND VA    34 33   1(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
NORFOLK VA     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
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