Post-Tropical Cyclone SANDY
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POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
0300 UTC TUE OCT 30 2012
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 39.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X 5 24 42 57 67 NA
TROP DEPRESSION 2 40 51 41 31 20 NA
TROPICAL STORM 90 55 26 17 13 13 NA
HURRICANE 8 X X X X X NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 8 X X X X X NA
HUR CAT 2 X X X X X X NA
HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X NA
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X NA
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 55KT 40KT 30KT 25KT 25KT 25KT NA
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CONCORD NH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BOSTON MA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HYANNIS MA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NANTUCKET MA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HARTFORD CT 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MONTAUK POINT 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEW YORK CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEW YORK CITY 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEWARK NJ 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEWARK NJ 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TRENTON NJ 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TRENTON NJ 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ATLANTIC CITY 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ATLANTIC CITY 64 31 X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
BALTIMORE MD 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BALTIMORE MD 50 47 X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
DOVER DE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
DOVER DE 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ANNAPOLIS MD 50 23 X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
WASHINGTON DC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WASHINGTON DC 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
RICHMOND VA 34 33 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
NORFOLK NAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NORFOLK VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WALLOPS CDA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
RALEIGH NC 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
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FORECASTER BROWN
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