Hurricane SANDY
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE SANDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
2100 UTC MON OCT 29 2012
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
38.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X 1 10 31 48 62 69
TROP DEPRESSION X 15 39 44 34 23 9
TROPICAL STORM 60 81 51 25 18 11 6
HURRICANE 40 3 1 X X 4 15
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 37 3 1 X X 2 6
HUR CAT 2 2 X X X X 1 6
HUR CAT 3 X X X X X 1 3
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X 1
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65KT 50KT 40KT 30KT 30KT 25KT 20KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11)
MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
MONCTON NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11)
ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11)
EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
EASTPORT ME 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10)
BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
BAR HARBOR ME 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10)
AUGUSTA ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
AUGUSTA ME 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9)
PORTLAND ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
PORTLAND ME 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
CONCORD NH 34 19 X(19) 1(20) X(20) 2(22) 2(24) 1(25)
CONCORD NH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
BOSTON MA 34 84 X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) 1(85)
BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
BOSTON MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
HYANNIS MA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
NANTUCKET MA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HARTFORD CT 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MONTAUK POINT 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEW YORK CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEW YORK CITY 50 71 X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
NEWARK NJ 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEWARK NJ 50 62 X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
TRENTON NJ 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TRENTON NJ 50 94 X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ATLANTIC CITY 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ATLANTIC CITY 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BALTIMORE MD 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BALTIMORE MD 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BALTIMORE MD 64 51 2(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
DOVER DE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
DOVER DE 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
DOVER DE 64 62 X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ANNAPOLIS MD 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ANNAPOLIS MD 64 63 X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
WASHINGTON DC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WASHINGTON DC 50 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
WASHINGTON DC 64 37 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
OCEAN CITY MD 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
RICHMOND VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
RICHMOND VA 50 20 X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
NORFOLK NAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NORFOLK NAS 50 59 X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
NORFOLK VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NORFOLK VA 50 59 X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
WALLOPS CDA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WALLOPS CDA 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WALLOPS CDA 64 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
GREENSBORO NC 34 18 8(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
RALEIGH NC 34 64 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
NHC on Facebook
Twitter
YouTube
NHC Blog: