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Hurricane SANDY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE SANDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  29                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012               
1500 UTC MON OCT 29 2012                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
37.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       1       6      22      43      58      68
TROP DEPRESSION  X       4      29      42      38      25      15
TROPICAL STORM   8      74      62      36      19      12       6
HURRICANE       92      22       3       1       1       5      11
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1       71      20       3       1       1       3       5
HUR CAT 2       17       2       X       X       X       1       4
HUR CAT 3        3       X       X       X       X       1       3
HUR CAT 4        1       X       X       X       X       X       1
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   80KT    60KT    45KT    35KT    30KT    25KT    20KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
YARMOUTH NS    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)
ST JOHN NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)
EASTPORT ME    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
EASTPORT ME    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)
BAR HARBOR ME  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
BAR HARBOR ME  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   4(11)
AUGUSTA ME     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
AUGUSTA ME     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   2( 4)   5( 9)   3(12)
PORTLAND ME    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
PORTLAND ME    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
CONCORD NH     34 30   5(35)   X(35)   X(35)   2(37)   3(40)   1(41)
CONCORD NH     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
BOSTON MA      34 50   2(52)   X(52)   1(53)   X(53)   2(55)   1(56)
BOSTON MA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
BOSTON MA      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
HYANNIS MA     34 64   1(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   1(66)   1(67)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
HYANNIS MA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34 81   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   1(82)   X(82)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
NANTUCKET MA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34 69   X(69)   1(70)   X(70)   1(71)   X(71)   1(72)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
HARTFORD CT    34 72   1(73)   1(74)   X(74)   X(74)   1(75)   X(75)
HARTFORD CT    50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34 81   1(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   1(83)
MONTAUK POINT  50  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34 89   3(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
NEW YORK CITY  50 55   3(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 
NEWARK NJ      34 86   6(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
NEWARK NJ      50 48   6(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
NEWARK NJ      64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
TRENTON NJ     34 88   9(97)   1(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
TRENTON NJ     50 68  15(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
TRENTON NJ     64  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34 98   2(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ATLANTIC CITY  50 96   2(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
ATLANTIC CITY  64 13  15(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34 87  13(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BALTIMORE MD   50 36  52(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
BALTIMORE MD   64  X  28(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 
DOVER DE       34 98   2(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
DOVER DE       50 92   6(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
DOVER DE       64 13  41(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34 92   8(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ANNAPOLIS MD   50 47  42(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
ANNAPOLIS MD   64  X  31(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34 87  12(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
WASHINGTON DC  50 16  58(74)   1(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)
WASHINGTON DC  64  X  18(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
OCEAN CITY MD  50 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
OCEAN CITY MD  64 61  10(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
 
RICHMOND VA    34 83  11(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
RICHMOND VA    50  2   7( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NORFOLK NAS    50 10   4(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
NORFOLK VA     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NORFOLK VA     50  9   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
WALLOPS CDA    50 91   3(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
WALLOPS CDA    64 34   9(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  1   9(10)   2(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
RALEIGH NC     34 13  17(30)   2(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34 65   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
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