Hurricane SANDY

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HURRICANE SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012
2100 UTC THU OCT 25 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE RAGGED ISLANDS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM OCEAN REEF TO FLAGLER BEACH
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH
* FLORIDA UPPER KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY
* FLORIDA BAY
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SANDY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N  75.6W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  963 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  70SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 300SE  60SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N  75.6W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  75.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 26.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 27.4N  77.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 140SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 28.3N  77.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE 100SW 120NW.
34 KT...230NE 180SE 170SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 29.8N  76.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...300NE 270SE 230SW 270NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 33.0N  73.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
34 KT...360NE 330SE 280SW 330NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 37.5N  72.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 40.5N  75.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N  75.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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