Tropical Storm MICHAEL

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TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
1730 UTC WED SEP 05 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  42.9W AT 05/1730Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  42.9W AT 05/1730Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  43.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 29.0N  42.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 29.7N  42.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 30.3N  42.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 31.0N  42.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 32.1N  44.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 33.3N  45.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 34.7N  46.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N  42.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
 
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