Tropical Storm MICHAEL

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TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
1500 UTC WED SEP 05 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.3N  43.3W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  50SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.3N  43.3W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  43.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 29.0N  43.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 29.7N  42.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 30.3N  42.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 31.0N  42.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 32.1N  44.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 33.3N  45.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 34.7N  46.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.3N  43.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
 
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