Tropical Storm MICHAEL

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TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
0300 UTC WED SEP 05 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  43.7W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  43.7W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  43.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 28.1N  43.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 28.9N  43.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 29.6N  42.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 30.0N  42.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 31.2N  43.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 32.0N  44.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 33.0N  45.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N  43.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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