Tropical Storm LESLIE
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TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 45
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
1500 UTC MON SEP 10 2012
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X X 1 1 NA NA NA
TROP DEPRESSION 1 2 4 7 NA NA NA
TROPICAL STORM 67 68 65 59 NA NA NA
HURRICANE 32 30 30 32 NA NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 30 25 25 26 NA NA NA
HUR CAT 2 2 4 5 5 NA NA NA
HUR CAT 3 X 1 1 1 NA NA NA
HUR CAT 4 X X X X NA NA NA
HUR CAT 5 X X X X NA NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 60KT 60KT 60KT 60KT NA NA NA
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X 21(21) 14(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X 87(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X 50(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X 89(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X 40(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
ILE ST PIERRE 64 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X 46(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PTX BASQUES 34 X 15(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
EDDY POINT NS 34 2 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SYDNEY NS 34 1 13(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
SABLE ISLAND 34 35 18(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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