Tropical Storm LESLIE

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  33           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122012               
1500 UTC FRI SEP 07 2012                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       X       X       X       X       2       7
TROP DEPRESSION  1       2       2       1       2       5      21
TROPICAL STORM  67      66      39      24      25      43      54
HURRICANE       32      31      59      75      73      51      19
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1       30      27      45      44      40      35      16
HUR CAT 2        2       3      10      19      20      11       1
HUR CAT 3        X       1       3       9      11       4       1
HUR CAT 4        X       X       1       2       2       1       X
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   60KT    60KT    70KT    80KT    85KT    75KT    60KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  21(22)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
ILE ST PIERRE  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
BURGEO NFLD    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
PTX BASQUES    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
SYDNEY NS      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  12(19)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   2( 2)   7( 9)  13(22)  17(39)   1(40)   X(40)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
NNNN