Hurricane KIRK

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HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112012
1500 UTC FRI AUG 31 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  50.8W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  50.8W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  50.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.1N  50.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 35.7N  47.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 38.9N  44.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 43.0N  39.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 53.0N  23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 130SE 110SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N  50.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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