Tropical Storm FLORENCE

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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062012
1500 UTC SUN AUG 05 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  35.6W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  50SE  20SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  35.6W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  35.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.7N  37.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.9N  40.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.4N  43.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.0N  46.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.5N  53.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 21.5N  59.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 24.0N  64.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N  35.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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