Tropical Storm ERNESTO

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TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
2100 UTC FRI AUG 03 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  64.1W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  64.1W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  63.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.2N  66.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.7N  69.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.3N  73.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.9N  76.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.0N  81.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 19.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 21.0N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N  64.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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