| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

Hurricane ERNESTO (Text)


ZCZC MIATCDAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE ERNESTO SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
200 PM EDT TUE AUG 07 2012
 
THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY UPDATES THE CURRENT AND SHORT-TERM INTENSITY
AND TRACK FORECAST.  THE HURRICANE HUNTERS RECENTLY FOUND THAT THE
MAXIMUM WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 KT...BASED ON A BLEND OF
PEAK BIAS-ADJUSTED SFMR WINDS OF 75 KT AND SURFACE-ADJUSTED
FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 66 KT.  THE AIRCRAFT ALSO FOUND THAT THE
CENTER IS A LITTLE NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK.  THEREFORE THE
INITIAL...12 H...AND 24 H FORECAST POINTS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED
SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD.

THE HURRICANE WARNING NOW INCLUDES COZUMEL...AND THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE ON THE
NORTHEAST TIP OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY REPLACES THE 1800 UTC INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY. 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  07/1800Z 18.5N  85.5W   70 KT  80 MPH
 12H  08/0000Z 19.0N  86.8W   80 KT  90 MPH
 24H  08/1200Z 19.4N  89.1W   60 KT  70 MPH...INLAND
 36H  09/0000Z 19.4N  91.3W   45 KT  50 MPH...OVER WATER
 48H  09/1200Z 19.4N  93.4W   65 KT  75 MPH...OVER WATER
 72H  10/1200Z 19.2N  96.6W   60 KT  70 MPH...INLAND
 96H  11/1200Z 19.0N 100.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...INLAND
120H  12/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
NNNN

Standard version of this page

Alternate Formats
About Alternates - E-Mail Advisories - RSS Feeds

Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory - Past Advisories - About Advisories

Marine Forecasts
Latest Products - About Marine Products

Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery - US Weather Radar - Aircraft Recon - Local Data Archive - Forecast Verification - Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense

Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names Wind Scale - Prepare - Climatology - NHC Glossary - NHC Acronyms - Frequently Asked Questions - AOML Hurricane-Research Division

About Us
About NHC - Mission/Vision - Other NCEP Centers - NHC Staff - Visitor Information - NHC Library

Contact Us


NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:09:17 UTC