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Tropical Storm DEBBY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042012               
2100 UTC TUE JUN 26 2012                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       3       9      19      18      21      18      20
TROP DEPRESSION 59      47      44      33      29      24      21
TROPICAL STORM  37      42      35      44      44      49      46
HURRICANE        1       2       2       5       6       9      13
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        1       2       2       5       5       8      11
HUR CAT 2        X       X       X       1       1       1       1
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X       X       X       X       1
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   30KT    30KT    30KT    35KT    35KT    40KT    45KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
MAYPORT NS     34  6  13(19)   4(23)   2(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)
MAYPORT NS     50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  7  12(19)   3(22)   1(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)
JACKSONVILLE   50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34 19  17(36)   3(39)   2(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
DAYTONA BEACH  50  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ORLANDO FL     34 25   8(33)   1(34)   1(35)   1(36)   X(36)   X(36)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34 10  11(21)   2(23)   1(24)   1(25)   1(26)   X(26)
 
PATRICK AFB    34 10  11(21)   2(23)   1(24)   1(25)   1(26)   X(26)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  4   6(10)   2(12)   2(14)   X(14)   1(15)   X(15)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  2   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)
 
MIAMI FL       34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MARCO ISLAND   34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
FT MYERS FL    34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
VENICE FL      34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
TAMPA FL       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  8   1( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
APALACHICOLA   34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN                                               
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