ZCZC MIATCMEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112011 2100 UTC MON OCT 10 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 116.9W AT 10/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 70SE 50SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 120SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 116.9W AT 10/2100Z AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 117.3W FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 14.9N 115.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 14.9N 114.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.3N 111.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.1N 109.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 17.3N 106.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 17.0N 104.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 16.5N 103.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 116.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 17-Jul-2012 13:44:19 UTC