Tropical Storm IRWIN
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TROPICAL STORM IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112011
0900 UTC MON OCT 10 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 118.5W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 85 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 210SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 118.5W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 118.8W
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 15.0N 117.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.0N 115.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 14.9N 114.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.2N 112.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.5N 108.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 17.0N 105.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 16.5N 104.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 118.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
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FORECASTER ROBERTS/BROWN
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