Hurricane JOVA

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE JOVA ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102011
200 PM PDT SUN OCT 09 2011
 
...JOVA GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM
WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...16.2N 107.9W
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE COAST
OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO NORTHWARD TO CABO
CORRIENTES...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM LAZARO CARDENAS
NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF PUNTA SAN TELMO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA SAN TELMO NORTHWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LAZARO CARDENAS NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF PUNTA SAN TELMO MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOVA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.9 WEST. JOVA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE TODAY. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST
IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  JOVA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 
48 HOURS...AND JOVA COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY MONDAY NIGHT
OR TUESDAY.
 
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90
MILES...150 KM.
 
RECENT REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
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