ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102011 0300 UTC THU OCT 06 2011 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 105.1W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 105.1W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 104.7W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 10.2N 106.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 25SE 20SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 10.6N 107.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 11.1N 108.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 35SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 11.8N 109.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 65NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 13.6N 110.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 15.6N 108.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 17.4N 106.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.0N 105.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 17-Jul-2012 13:44:17 UTC