Hurricane GREG

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HURRICANE GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072011
0300 UTC FRI AUG 19 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 113.9W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  65SE  50SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  60SE  70SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 113.9W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 113.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 19.1N 115.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  65SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.2N 118.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  65SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.1N 120.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  65SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.9N 121.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  25SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.6N 124.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 18.3N 127.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 18.0N 129.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 113.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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